Prediction of the solar photovoltaic potential for electricity generation in Turkey
Abstract
Global warming, environmental pollution and energy crises lead researchers to obtain energy in a cheap and clean way. Solar energy, which is one of the renewable energy sources, has gained great importance in the developed countries in terms of having almost no adverse impact to the environment. In addition to providing a significant part of the world's energy needs, solar energy does not consume natural resources and does not cause gas emissions such as CO2 to the air. Solar energy technologies offer a clean, renewable and domestic energy source, and are essential components of a sustainable energy in the future. Proper and adequate information on solar radiation and its components at a given location is very essential in the design of solar energy systems. Due to Turkey’s location, solar energy potential is abundantly available. Consequently, it is worth to examine and conduct research on the solar energy source. The aim of this study is to predict the solar power capacity for electricity generation by using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) analysis method. According to model result, the southern and southeast regions of Turkey has over 1600 kWh/m2.yr radiation potential and is considered as optimum surface area for the solar PV installation. This study also shows that there is a lot of solar energy potential in Turkey for solar thermal heating/cooling, solar PV and solar CSP for electricity generation.
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